Knives out for Cameron: Dozens of Tories threaten no-confidence vote over PM's 'shabby' Brexit scaremongering

Dozens of Tory MPs are threatening to topple David Cameron over his handling of the EU referendum.

In the wake of the latest Brexit ‘dodgy’ dossier row, senior party figures said he would have to name a date for his departure if he wanted to avoid a massive bloodletting.

They said even this might not prevent a formal vote of no-confidence after June 23, whatever the poll result.

The plotting followed another day of extraordinary clashes between senior Tory party figures over No 10’s Project Fear strategy. Boris Johnson claimed a Treasury dossier was a ‘hoax’.

The knives are out: Dozens of Tory MPs are threatening to topple Prime Minister David Cameron (pictured yesterday with Chancellor George Osborne at an In campaign event in Chandler's Ford, Hampshire) over his handling of the EU referendum

The knives are out: Dozens of Tory MPs are threatening to topple Prime Minister David Cameron (pictured yesterday with Chancellor George Osborne at an In campaign event in Chandler's Ford, Hampshire) over his handling of the EU referendum

Other Leave campaigners said the report was ‘disreputable, shabby and misleading’. The dossier claimed that up to 820,000 jobs would be lost, house prices would plunge and the country would dive into recession.

Some backbenchers were so enraged with Downing Street that they said a vote to try to get rid of the PM was now inevitable.

They pointed out that only six months had passed since Mr Cameron had declared there was ‘no question’ that Britain could survive and do well outside the EU. 

Under Conservative Party rules, 50 MPs have to write to Graham Brady, the chairman of the backbench 1922 Committee, to trigger a formal no-confidence vote.

MPs say some letters have already been written – and dated June 24.

One senior backbencher said: ‘If there is a narrow win for Remain, and he is still in office after June 23, the only way he is going to avoid a vote of no-confidence is to name the date when he is going to go.

‘If he says that, while he still has much work that he wants to do, he will be gone by the end of 2018 then that might head off some of the opposition. 

Former London Mayor Boris Johnson (pictured yesterday at a Vote Leave campaign event) claimed a Treasury dossier warning of 820,000 job losses in the event of Brexit was 'a hoax'

Former London Mayor Boris Johnson (pictured yesterday at a Vote Leave campaign event) claimed a Treasury dossier warning of 820,000 job losses in the event of Brexit was 'a hoax'

Former Defence Secretary Liam Fox called the Treasury dossier 'shabby and misleading'

Former Defence Secretary Liam Fox called the Treasury dossier 'shabby and misleading'

'People want a date when they know that he will be gone. There is real anger.’

In a joint press conference yesterday, the Prime Minister and Mr Osborne claimed Britons would be voting to ‘self-destruct’ by backing Brexit on June 23.

Mr Cameron warned of a ‘DIY recession’ – one that the country would have brought upon itself.

But the Treasury dossier, which failed to consider any of the downsides of staying in the EU, was savaged by former Tory chancellors, serving ministers and MPs.

Mr Johnson said: ‘I see no evidence whatever there will be a recession, I really don’t. It’s totally made up and I think it’s started to be excessively negative and I think they are in danger of talking this country down.’

The dossier said in a worst-case, ‘severe shock’ scenario exit could result in 6 per cent lower GDP over two years, 820,000 lost jobs, a four per cent fall in average incomes, a 15 per cent collapse in the pound’s value and £39billion added to government borrowing.

In the lesser ‘shock’ scenario, based on assumptions of a bilateral trade deal with the EU, it predicts growth would be 3.6 per cent less than currently predicted in the two years after a British exit.

Sterling would drop 12 per cent, unemployment would rise by 520,000, wages would be hit by 2.8 per cent and house price growth would take a 10 per cent hit.

Former defence secretary Liam Fox said the analysis was ‘disreputable, shabby and misleading’ propaganda. Marcus Fysh, the Tory MP for Yeovil, tweeted that the Treasury analysis was ‘specious b******s’.

MEETING GEORGE PERSUADED ME...TO VOTE FOR BREXIT

A B&Q worker said that meeting George Osborne yesterday had persuaded her to vote in the EU referendum – but for Brexit.

The woman said she told the Chancellor he was not living ‘in the real world’ after listening to his speech warning that leaving the European Union would lead to a ‘DIY recession’.

The employee, named only as Maryann, took a selfie with Mr Osborne before saying she would now vote to leave.

Her comments came after B&Q workers were banned from talking to journalists at the event, sparking comparisons with a ‘totalitarian state’.

B&Q worker Maryann, pictured with George Osborne, said meeting the Chancellor persuaded her to vote for Brexit over his 'stage managed' speeches

B&Q worker Maryann, pictured with George Osborne, said meeting the Chancellor persuaded her to vote for Brexit over his 'stage managed' speeches

Maryann, who described herself as an immigrant living in Leatherhead, Surrey, told LBC the speeches were ‘stage-managed’ and claimed she had been unable to ask the Prime Minister and Chancellor a question because they had their backs to her.

She even claimed they should not have bothered visiting the firm’s offices, where she said a ‘majority’ back Brexit. 

She said Mr Osborne said she ‘shouldn’t believe anything the Leave campaign says’. But Maryann added: ‘What they have done is tip me over to the Leave side.’

Last night B&Q said Maryann had spoken out in a personal capacity, not as an employee.

COMMENT: THIS WAS PROJECT FEAR'S LAST BIG CHANCE 

By James Slack, Political Editor

The Treasury’s doom-laden document landed only four days before purdah formally begins on Friday.

During the purdah period, the Prime Minister and other pro-Brexit campaigners will be banned from using the civil service machine to make their case.

Until now, they have been free to use Government resources to bombard the public with pro-EU messages. 

Notoriously, No10 spent £9.3million of taxpayers’ money sending a leaflet to every UK household, insisting Britain would be better off staying in.

This has handed the Remain campaign a huge financial advantage and led to anger among Conservative backbenchers. 

The start of purdah is also controversially close to postal votes being sent out. They will start being distributed on Friday.

Following the publication of the Treasury’s first dossier on Brexit – which claimed every household would be £4,300 worse off – the Remain camp enjoyed a week-long spike in the polls. 

The Government will be hoping people fill out postal votes while warnings of job losses, falls in house prices and a rising cost of living are still fresh in their minds.

When it was introduced, the EU Referendum Bill said purdah rules should not apply to the referendum, triggering a Tory backbench revolt and forcing No10 to back down. 

MPs have vowed to watch ‘like hawks’ to ensure the rules are adhered to.

Leave campaigners are concerned Cabinet Secretary Sir Jeremy Heywood – dubbed Sir Cover-Up – will be the referee in any disputes. 

MPs are unhappy he has not stepped in to stop civil servants producing the likes of George Osborne’s two ‘dodgy dossiers’.

Normally, purdah – from the Persian for veil – applies in local and general elections. In this case it does not mean politicians will stop campaigning. 

It simply means civil servants and the Government machine will not be able to help them make their case.

The smallprint of the dossier revealed that rather than collapsing, house prices and wages would roughly flatline. 

The claim that Britain would spend a year in recession was based on four quarters of negative growth of just 0.1 per cent, which would be one of the shallowest downturns in history.

Even SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon, who is on the same side of the debate as Mr Cameron, said the warnings were overblown.

The Chancellor struck an unrelentingly gloomy tone, saying jobs would be lost in every region, with the message ‘Vote Leave, get recession’.

He also appeared to take a swipe at Michael Gove and Mr Johnson – accusing them of being prepared to sacrifice British jobs.

He said: ‘To those fellow politicians who say we should vote to leave I’d say this: you might think the economic shock is a price worth paying.

‘But it’s not your wages that will be hit, it’s not your livelihoods that will go, it’s not you who’ll struggle to pay the bills.’

Mr Cameron even suggested that voting for Brexit was immoral. 

The Prime Minister said: ‘The economic case is the moral case. The moral case for keeping parents in work, firms in business, the pound in health, Britain in credit, the moral case for providing economic opportunity rather than unemployment for the next generation.

‘Where is the morality in putting any of that at risk for some unknown end?’

Tory MPs were so angry that a Treasury minister was hauled to the Commons to answer an urgent question on the dossier.

Senior backbencher Bernard Jenkin said: ‘We all know these forecasts are just rubbish’.

Cabinet minister Chris Grayling said that it was nonsense to claim Britain would be unable to strike trade deals outside the EU.

Nigel Lawson said: ‘The Treasury has enough trouble with forecasts even when they are trying to get them right. This time they have simply assumed a disaster in order to scare the pants off the British people.’

His fellow former Tory chancellor, Norman Lamont, said: ‘The Chancellor claims house prices will fall by 10 per cent by 2018 if the UK votes to leave, but the independent OBR forecasts that by 2018 house prices will be 10 per cent higher than now – so the Chancellor is claiming a vote to leave would mean stable house prices.’

Brexit-supporting economist Patrick Minford said the assessment ignored all the upsides from leaving, including the money saved from not having to abide by EU rules and regulations.

Mr Osborne said his analysis had been peer-reviewed by Charlie Bean, a former deputy governor of the Bank of England, and the economist had said it was based on reasonable estimates and best practice.  

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